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CrowdPicks Superbowl XLIV Pick
Story Posted:2/7/2010 1:22:25 PM
Views:122 | Unique:14
Comments:3
BY: CrowdPicks
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Tags: NFL

For last year's Superbowl our official CrowdPicks "smart" pick was scary accurate by predicting a Steelers win over the Cardinals of 27-24. Not only were we right on the Cardinals covering the 6.5 but our score prediction was only off by 1 point with a final score of 27-23.

This year we'll take the same "smart" pick approach for our official CrowdPicks prediction using members from about the top 5% against the spread and who picked at least 60 games during the season. To get some flavor for varying data slices, when we look at the top 5%, 10% and 15%, we see clearly the spread widen as the crowd gets smarter.

Top 5% - CP Spread = Saints (3.6)
Top 10% - CP Spread = Saints (2.7)
Top 15% - CP Spread = Saints (1.3)

Now the Official CrowdPicks Superbowl pick...

--Saints (5.5) cover vs. Colts, score of 26.7-30.3

GL with your picks!
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Comments 
Your lips to the betting gods' ears.
Posted By:
vfortezz
2/7/2010 10:21 AM ET

I took the Saints and Devery Henderson to score the first TD. I also took the under on Addai's yards 63.5
Posted By:
Jeff
2/7/2010 1:18 PM ET

colts win by 20, 40-20
Posted By:
astrub
2/7/2010 4:54 PM ET

About The Author
CrowdPicks
Date Joined:11/13/2007
Bio: I’m the official CrowdPicks user and my picks represent the entire combined community picks.

CrowdPicks is a sports picking community
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